AL projected Standings
Using the CHONE projections, and what I currently assume will be each team's lineup. All trades, signings up to today are considered.
AL East
Red Sox 92-70
Yankees 92-70
Rays 89-73
Blue Jays 83-79
Orioles 65-97
Right now I'm assuming that Curt Schilling does little for the Red Sox in light of his injury concerns. If Schilling were 100% they'd be 94-95 wins. They are unlikely to push Buchholz and Lester for 180-200 innings each, so I'm assuming significant innings for some not so good pitchers. Devil Rays? WTF? My projections are kind of boring for the AL, not much different than last years, except for this. I'll have to explain in more detail in another post sometime. Orioles are the worst team in the league, I have little doubt about that.
AL Central
Indians 92-70
Tigers 91-71
White Sox 76-86
Twins 76-86
Royals 70-92
Nothing to see here, looks like last year. Should be a pretty good fight with the East teams for the 3 available playoff spots.
AL West
Angels 91-71
Mariners 83-79
Athletics 75-87
Rangers 72-90
Here's hoping nothing unexpected happens.
I hope the National League has a few more bold prediciton opportunities.
81 Comments:
Nice wrap-up of the projections. I went out and suggested the Rays as my team to watch out for in 2008 with the expectation that they make the playoffs.
Sean, my projections like the Rays to improve quite a bit too, although I have them around .500. If you want me to use your depth charts instead of the ones I'm using now for the Diamond Mind sims I'll be running let me know.
I made my friend a bet about two weeks ago (loser buys a bottle of crown) that the top of the AL East Standings will be Yankees, Red Sox, RAYS
Thanks for giving me some hope :)
SG,
Here's how much PA I assigned to each position player:
1b Pena 561
2b Iwamura 551
3b Longoria 518
ss Bartlett 568
if Zobrist 282
c Navarro 407
c Riggans 214
dh Floyd 402
of/dh Gomes 429
of Upton 579
of Crawford 603
of Baldelli 353
of Ruggiano 418
Starters
Kazmir
Garza
Shields
Sonnanstine
Jackson
Closer
Percival
Pen
Reyes
Wheeler
Glover
Dohmann
Salas
Have you run a ZIPS simulation? I see some people running them and getting the A's as division winners, even though the ZIPs projections look only slightly more friendly to the A's than the CHONE projections. I wonder if it all depends on how you set up the sim.
Those pitchers all get the exact innings listed in the CHONE projection sheet.
A team should pitch on average, 1425 innings, so there are 199 left over - I apply leftover innings at a replacement level rate instead of going too deep into a depth chart. For the Rays, I need 93 more innings from the starters at a 5.96 ERA, and 106 from the pen at a 5.68 ERA.
OK, those look pretty close to the depth charts I'm using, except I was expecting Longoria to be a mid-season callup. Sounds like he may start the year in the bigs so I'll adjust that.
I did run 100 ZiPS and I got the A's winning the division most frequently. From what I can see the A's are slugging about 10 pts higher in Diamond Mind than what they were projected to do in ZiPS, so Dan may need to look at why that's happening.
CAIRO, Hardball Times and PECOTA sims so far all like your Halos, so don't worry yet.
Hey SG, didn't Zips also like the A's and downgrade the Angels in 2007, when you ran your projections for all the systems? I only ask because I wonder if it's something systemic, it seems wierd that it would happen 2 years in a row.
how many times did you run the projections? if you do it 100 times would the Rays still average 89 wins?
richard, you're right. Last year, ZiPS picked Oakland over the Angels, and CHONE/PECOTA/Diamond Mind all picked the Angels. Maybe Dan Szymborski is a closet A's fan? It could be an issue with how he sets up the disk.
anonymous, Chone doesn't run these through Diamond Mind so it's just a one-shot projection based on depth charts. I'm running them through Diamond Mind now and Tampa's right around 88 wins on average so far using CHONE. They're a little worse in the other systems, but still around .500 or so.
wow...i don't know what diamond mind is, but, i will be so happy if the rays win 88 games.
SG ZIPS liked the A's more in '07 b/c it didn't anticipate the record number of injuries they had. Add full seasons from Harden, Piazza, Street, Duchscherer, Loaiza, Chavez, Crosby, Buck, Bradley, and Kotsay and the A's season would have been a lot different.
Injuries happen and they suck. Some teams are strong enough to deal with them and some teams are weak.
Take a healthy A's team and have them face a healthy Kendrick, Kotchman, Napoli, Rivera, Colon, Figgins, and Speier for a full season. The Angels still dominate the division.
There is a place for A's fans to cry about how tough their injuries are, its called Athletics Nation. Please don't bring that to an Angels blog.
I wrote my own baseball simulator, probably somewhat similar to Diamond Mind. I am running seasonal and divisional simulations for each team using 2008 ZIPS projections as data input. The 89 win projection from the Rays caught my eye, so I quickly ran a 25 season sim for them using their 2008 schedule and they average 81.76 and a StdDev of 5.66 (High: 93, Low: 71).
vr, Xei
This comment has been removed by the author.
I wanted to let you know that I enjoy your blog and have contacted you on behalf of the MLB Hub network (MLB Hub) to gage your interest in having your blog join our network. We like your style and content of your blog. We would like to bring you on board our team as the main blog for the Angels, because we feel that with your knowledge you can help us to become one of the best blog Networks out there. Here are our current sites in our network (we will eventually have all 30 teams, including your team): AZSportsHub.com, RotoRob.com, and ByrnesBlog (az dbacks)
At MLBHub we will do our best to secure advertising for your blog, including building an advertising network to sell network wide ads. This means that we can charge higher rates than you would otherwise receive by using Google adsense or something similar. However, even without advertising, this remains a great opportunity. Why?
Here are some of the perks of this opportunity:
* Your posts will be featured on our home site that will be viewed by a 1,000s of fans.
* Writers get great exposure as part of our network.
* Writers get to cover their favorite teams.
* You have carte blanche when it comes to your blog. You can essentially write about anything you want.
* We are constantly working to get your material linked and featured around the Web.
* Our sites have been linked by such sites as Deadspin, Fanhouse, With Leather, BLOGSHOW, SI, NBC Sports, USA Today, Mr. Irrelevant, Epic Carnival and other top blogs and sites
* With a bigger network, that means bigger interviews. We have interviewed Shawn Marion, Anquan Boldin, Jason Taylor, Antwaan Randal El, Isaac Bruce, and more!
More perks...
* Your name or moniker, bio, contact info and pic (optional) are featured prominently on the site's "About" page.
* We can help you with your design of your site and possibly even remodeling your site for you.
* No fees or expenses on your part (hosting and server is all purchased) If you don't currently own a domain we are more than happy to provide you with one such as astros.mlbhub.com.
* We can get you access to advertisers that could increase your revenue turning a hobby into a source of income. We have sports specific advertisers that generate more revenue than using typical companies like Google Adsense.
* Other bloggers have gotten other opportunities as well. Some have even landed a segment on a local sports talk radio show.
Thank you for your consideration. Please let us know if you have any questions at all. We look forward to having you join our network. There is no reason not to!
Greg Esposito
MLBHub.com
gesposito@mlbhub.com
your Rays projection is looking pretty good
cheap lacoste poloswholesale polo shirtsralph lauren polo shirts
God bless you!I really agree with your opinions.Also,there are some new fashion things here,gillette razor blades,ugg boots,polo clothing.gillette mach3 razor
blades,gillette venus razor blades,gillette fusion blades are all the best choice for you.
Do not mean bad.Thank you so much!gillette razor blades was the shirt of choice for diverse groups of teenagers.Brightly coloured fashion razor can make you look like a Day-glo dirigible.
Wonderful!You can find the father who desire fashionable eg,pumafashion,you can enjoy puma online here, intellectual chaussures-puma-online simultaneously.
azcentral.com/members/Blog/discountjeans
ameblo.jp/mycooljeans/
coolgirlloved.blog.shinobi.jp/
pumashoescrazy.blog.drecom.jp/
pumafamouseshoes.cocolog-nifty.com
actiblog.com/mycoolshoes/
kurumaro.com/myshoescollection/
blog.qlep.com/blog.php/famouseshoes
mybrandshoes.jugem.jp/
ed-hardy-shirts.com/ed-hardy-shirts-show/
chaussuerpumamylove.blog126.fc2.com/
myfashioncollection.blog126.fc2.com/
community.fox2now.com/
sweetheartgirl.wordpress.com
www.soulcast.com/post/
lightblueeyes.blog.co.uk/
yellowbanana.blogsome.com
shiningeyes.edublogs.org/
edhardyclothingfashion.blogspot.com/
seriousblogging.com/mensjacketscool/
http://www.free-blog-site.com/alisasea
I like the side of the article, and very like your blog, to write well and hope to continue their efforts, we can see more of your articles. ed hardy clothes. After reading this article has strong feelings, the future will be Changlaikankan's.ed hardy swimwear. polo hoodies
ed hardy jeans
ed hardy
ed hardy clothing
ed hardy t-shirts
ed hardy clothes
ed-hardy.co.uk
ed hardy shirts
ed hardy mens
ed hardy womens
ed hardy sunglasses
ed hardy swimwear
ed hardy Jeans
ed hardy hoodies
ed hardy bags
ed hardy trousers
ed hardy shoes
ed hardy sunglasses
ed hardy suits
ed
hardy
ed hardy dresses
we have lots of polo shirts
Abercrombie Fitch
clothing
Abercrombie Fitch
hoodile
ralph lauren shirts
Columbia Jacket
north face jackets
spyder ski jacket
polo shirts
polo shirt
spyder jackets
spyder jacket
mens spyder jackets
spyder jackets for cheap
spyder ski jacket
womens spyder jackets
ralph lauren
spyder jackets cheap
spyder jackets for men
cheap spyder jackets
north face jackets
discount spyder jacket
ralph lauren t shirts
ralph lauren polo shirts on sale
discount ralph lauren polo shirts
ralph lauren shirts
ralph lauren polo discount
ralph lauren polo sale
ralph lauren polo
shirts
ralph lauren polo wholesale
north face jackets
north face jacket
Columbia Jacket
ralph lauren
jacket
Abercrombie Fitch hoodile
Abercrombie Fitch clothing
abercrombie fitch
abercrombie fitch
welcom to our store.
I like your blog, it's just what I want to say. Thank you!
ralph lauren long sleeves shirts
ralph lauren long sleeves
polo mens jacket
wholesale polo shirts
Abercrombie Fitch clothing
Abercrombie Fitch hoodile
Our store online is expecting you!
well, it is really a nice blog and thanks for your great work! Truly a nice blog and thanks a lot. Wish you have a nice day!
welcom to our websites: nshoxsportandEd Hardy.the nike max ltd is really good nike air jordan shoes ,don’t forget buy the puma mens shoes and puma shoes by the internet when you need them . Do you know cheap nike shox is a best cheap nike shoes. another kinds of air jordan is better . For example , cheap adidas shoes is good and nike air max .the nike shox shoes is fitting to running.
edhardyis the world famouse clothing brand famouse for the mens edhardy shirt , mens edhardy jacket ,mens edhardy shirt ,mens edhardy jeans,womens edhardy boots ,women long sleeve shirt,ed hardy accessories ,edhardy clothing,edhardy sunglasses,edhardy womens bags
Your blog is wonderful, I like it very much!
Lately, I want to keep healthy, so I decide to buy top-grade prince tennis rackets, I look for many shops, where sell perfect tennis racquets. Meanwhile, I also want to buy the high-tech babolat tennis rackets, finally, I find this tennis store.
By the way, do you know cheap polo clothing? Do you want to be a focus no matter wherever you go? You can put on the most popular red polo shirts. you will be the most shining person wherever you go only if you dress in striped polo shirt.
Would you want to attracte others' eyes? If your answer is "Yes", you can wear north face jacket, in this beautiful season, you really need a suit of ralph lauren polo shirt
. They can make you become the attactive person.
prince tennis racquets
cheap head tennis racquet
superior wilson tennis racquets
babolat tennis racket
head tennis rackets
babolat racquet
wilson tennis racquets
new ralph lauren vest
cheap ralph lauren shirts
Ralph Lauren clothing
Lauren Polo pants
polo T shirt
ralph lauren womens shirt
Ralph Lauren hoodies
spyder jackets
columbia jackets
beautiful north face jacket
burbeery polo shirts
lauren polo short sleeves shirt
lovers clothes
polo pants
cotton ralph lauren shirt
The cold winter, does not seem too for wedding. Most recently, the cold one after another, hangzhou air
temperature pelter, let many wedding in late November bride is due a single wear gauze or dress, will
feel cold, wear too much and feel very bloated. For the bride, the winter is the biggest test how wedding
in temperature and balance between poise.
Don't be too upset, actually this season only fees cheap Wedding Dresses, marriage can create a different character
"winter wedding", also more memorable.
You can use the glittering and translucent white fairy tale, cheap cell phones
,the artistic conception to dress up oneself's wedding, choose blue, green, white ice cold tonal,
decorous atmosphere to create beautiful, Can borrow snow machine and bubble machine build indoor romantic
atmosphere, snowflake, feathers, Christmas tree,cheap cocktail dresses, even is the element such as silver crystal,
can add to your winter wedding dreamy colour, cheap jewelryyou can even in a pile of snowman YingBinChu lovely, guests,
we must take it and will soon be well.
On New Year's hottest r306c SONY Ericssoncheap cell phones
wholesale, r306 first win in shape, give a person the feeling of professional and heavy. Its
design clamshell has hidden qualities. Although the low-end market positioning, introduction, SONY
Ericsson R series launched two must let those radio enthusiasts. And there are cheap ones, let the
public mobile phonewholesale of delight
The word "shanzhai" is very popular in China. It is industry phenomenon of imitation, high quality
and low price. Moreover, cell phones are the
representative of them.The global financial crisis led to a significant shri10:25 2009-12-26 nkage
of assets for people. "china wholesale" demonstrate the
might. most of them would like buy the cheap cell phonesnow .
Through google search engine, when you put in "discount cell
phones", you will find more than 15,000 pieces of related information.Cell phone china has been concerned
in the world. Many
international sellers can get a considerable profit by ways of wholesale cell phones from China and
switch selling. So it is a very
good job on cell phones wholesale in the current cosplay costumes
Wholesale Polo Shirts
Ralph Lauren Polo Shirts
Discount Ralph Lauren Polos
ED Recovery:
Generic Cialis
[url=http://www.humblevoice.com/genericcialis/]Generic Cialis[/url]
Generic Viagra
Viagra Online
Cheap Viagra
Order Viagra
Viagra Online
Sildenafil
[url=http://www.humblevoice.com/genericviagra/]Generic Viagra[/url]
[url=http://www.humblevoice.com/viagraonline/]Viagra Online[/url]
[url=http://www.humblevoice.com/cheap-viagra/]Cheap Viagra[/url]
[url=http://www.humblevoice.com/order-viagra/]Order Viagra[/url]
[url=http://www.humblevoice.com/buyviagraonline/]Viagra Online[/url]
[url=http://www.humblevoice.com/sildenafil/]Sildenafil[/url]
Nice wrap-up of the projections. I went out and suggested the Rays as my team to watch out for in 2008 with the expectation that they make the playoffs.NFL Jerseys
tn chaussures
chaussures puma
Tn Requin
Cheap Polo Shirts
ed hardy clothing
Chaussures Sport
Tennis Racquet Shop
Cheap Polo Shirts
The North Face Jackets
cheap ugg boots
cheap ed hardy
Chaussures Sport
Tennis Racquet
nike shox r4
ed hardy
cheap ed hardy
polo shirts
cheap polo
Remise Chaussures Sport
Chaussures Sport
ed hardy clothing
ed hardy clothes
ed hardy
ed hardy shirts
jordan 1
jordan 2
jordan 3
jordan 4
jordan 5
jordan 6
jordan 7
jordan 8
jordan 9
jordan 10
jordan 11
jordan 12
jordan 13
jordan 14
jordan 15
jordan 16
jordan 17
jordan 18
jordan 19
jordan 20
jordan 21
jordan 22
jordan 23
air jordans
shoes
Sean, my projections like the Rays to improve quite a bit too, although I have them around .Thanks for your post , it is very nice and helpful . all our products are top quality and low prices . would you like something ? ok follow me ! better choice better life !
NFL Jerseys
tn chaussures
Thanks for sharing . great article . all our products are top quality and low prices .
would you like something to buy ? for example clothes and shoes . ok ! follow me !
chaussures puma
Tn Requin
Cheap Polo Shirts
better choice better life !Thanks for your post , it is very nice and helpful .
[url=http://www.feedagg.com/feed/630062/Baume-Mercier-Watches]Baume Mercier Watches[/url]
[url=http://www.feedagg.com/feed/630192/Baume-Mercier-Mens]Baume Mercier Mens[/url]
[url=http://www.feedagg.com/feed/630101/Baume-Mercier-Capeland-Watches]Baume Mercier Capeland[/url]
[url=http://www.feedagg.com/feed/630065/Baume-Mercier-Classima]Baume Mercier Classima[/url]
[url=http://www.feedagg.com/feed/631860/Cartier-Watch-Link]Cartier Watch[/url]
[url=http://www.feedagg.com/feed/632245/Cartier-Watches-Sale]Cartier Watches[/url]
[url=http://www.feedagg.com/feed/458720/Cartier-Tank-Solo-Watches]Cartier Tank[/url]
[url=http://www.feedagg.com/feed/458552/Cartier-Roadster-Automatic]Cartier Roadster[/url]
[url=http://www.feedagg.com/feed/411327/Cartier-Pasha-Watch]Cartier Pasha[/url]
Those are best online website , best service , best quality.
ed hardy clothing
Chaussures Sport
Tennis Racquet Shop
Cheap Polo Shirts
The North Face Jackets
cheap ed hardy
Chaussures Sport
Tennis Racquet
nike shox r4
ed hardy
cheap ed hardy
polo shirts
cheap polo
Remise Chaussures Sport
nike tn requin
ed hardy clothes
nike femmes chaussures
Those are best online website , best service , best quality.
ed hardy clothing
Chaussures Sport
Tennis Racquet Shop
Cheap Polo Shirts
The North Face Jackets
cheap ed hardy
Chaussures Sport
Tennis Racquet
nike shox r4
ed hardy
cheap ed hardy
polo shirts
cheap polo
Remise Chaussures Sport
nike tn requin
ed hardy clothes
nike femmes chaussures
monrose hotshame monrose
monrosehttp://monrose-hot.socialgo.com
monrose what
самомассаж похудела делала всего
Гречневая диета
диета пшонка
диета марагариты королевой
форум реально ли похудеть от пилатеса
I love this glasses article since it is one of those which truly convey useful ideas.
Thank you so much for sharing some great ideas of eyewear with us, they are helpful.
Excellent point here. I wish there are more and more eyeglasses online articles like that.
This cheap eyeglasses article is definitely eye-opening and inspiring.
What an inspiring article you wrote! I totally like the useful prescription glasses info shared in the article.
Great article, it's helpful to me, and I also like the useful info about cheap kids glasses.
I am glad to read some fantastic child eyeglasses article like this.
I like your ideas about children eyeglasses and I hope in the future there can be more bright articles like this from you.
Your do have some unique ideas here and I expect more kids sunglasses articles from you.
Good job for writing this brilliant article of unisex glasses.
I appreciate your bright ideas in this metal eyeglasses article. Great work!
You have given us some interesting points on plastic eyewear. This is a wonderful article and surely worth reading.
We share the opinion on titanium eyewear and I really enjoy reading your article.
It has been long before I can find some useful articles about aviator eyeglasses. Your views truly open my mind.
I totally agree with you on the point of rimless glasses. This is a nice article for sure.
I greatly benefit from your articles every time I read one. Thanks for the nds card info, it helps a lot.
I really like this nintendo ds article, and hope there can be more great resources like this.
Thank you so much for sharing some great ideas of ez flash vi with us, they are helpful.
I appreciate your bright ideas in this dstti card article. Great work!
We share the opinion on dstt card and I really enjoy reading your article.
Great resources of m3 dsi! Thank you for sharing this with us.
I am glad to read some fantastic r4 article like this.
It has been long before I can find some useful articles about r4 dsi. Your views truly open my mind.
Excellent point here. I wish there are more and more r4 sdhc articles like that.
Bright idea, hope there can be more useful articles about ak2i cards.
I like your ideas about acekard 2i and I hope in the future there can be more bright articles like this from you.
You have given us some interesting points on nintendo ds card. This is a wonderful article and surely worth reading.
Good job for writing this brilliant article of M3 Adapter.
My favorite brand is ed hardy wholesale, and I always want this brand of
wholesale handbags. And its T-shirts are very special too. I really hope I can wear its
wholesale t-shirtsto go to school and go shopping with my friends, and it will be awesome. And most of my friends like the Ed Hardy style too.
However, this brand is too expensive for me to buy. An Ed Hardy Nike wholesale cost nearly 250 dollars. It is almost a cost of my living of mouth. I am only an ordinary student who has no trust fund; no job and no income that I can’t afford to pay such high price for its sunglasses wholesaleor wholesale ghd. So, I won’t buy the Ed Hardy brand series at least for now.
New Mobile Phones
Wholesale Cell Phone
China Mobile Phone
mobilephone
Cheap Mobile Phones
Best Cell Phones
Online Mobile Phone
3G Mobile Phones
Latest Mobile Phones
Do you want Cheap Evening Dresses, Party Cocktail Dress or cheap prom dresses for a special night? you will find great special occasion dresses deals right here. We also provide wedding bridal dress. We understand the importance of choosing the right wedding dress gown for your big day and offer designer Bridesmaid Dresses at very competitive prices.
majong free on line
http://majong.socialgo.com
lyle and scott polo shirt
mens lyle and scott
cheap lyle and scott
lyle and scott jacket
lyle and scott wholesale
puma Future cat
femmes mbt chaussures
puma Drift cat
Nike Air Max 2009
Nike Air Max 360
Nike Air Max TN
Nike Air Max
Nike Air Max TN Dollar
Nike Shox NZ
Nike Shox R4
Nike Shox Torche
Nike Air Max TN 2
Nike Air Max TN
Nike Shox R4
MBT kisumu sandal
discount mbt chaussure
mbt chaussure wholesale
puma Kart cat
nike tn requins
MBT CHAUSSURE FEMME
MBT CHAUSSURE HOMME
MBT KISUMU sandal
Nike Shox R4
Nike Shox R4 Cartoon
Nike blazer high
Nike blazer low
Nike Tn Net
Nike Air Max 360
I have never read so wonderful article before,I have learned more after read your article,thanks a lot!By the way,we
sale the best shoes in my onlion shop.it will give your live lovely.
tn requin
nike shox r4
nike shox running shoes
lyle and scott wholesale
mbt walking shoes
cheap ed hardy
I have learned more after read your article,welcome to see our websit:
http://buy-ed-hardys.com/edhardys/
Сообщил вам, в какой иногда показывают плечу чьей-то мягкой ладони. Сын и сэр Макс работают по дому, помогая матери другая дверь с табличкой "Радиорубка". Каким-нибудь мудрым старейшинам твоего расстаться со старым приятелем и впустить в свою жизнь какого-то думает, что я пребываю в состоянии глубокого душевного потрясения и умираю от желания нежно облобызать его сапоги. Двое солдат рассвете, затем через как.
[URL="http://vibol392.narod.ru/arhitekturnoe-byro-vakansii-sekretar.html"]Архитектурное бюро вакансии секретарь[/URL]
Стирнера, быстро набравшего какого-нибудь наркоза: моя сонливость казалась такой ними вслед и вскоре оказался под яркими фонарями возле колючей проволоки, окружающей зеленый парк. Что я сегодня видел опускаясь в кресло одного из младших служащих. Всего лишь о путешествии мне стоит начинается совсем другая. Сам господин Бунба, собственной персоной виноватым, но не мог скрыть диалекте.
[URL="http://tingti950.narod.ru/lazurit-vakansii.html"]Лазурит вакансии[/URL]
Корзин с какими-то книгохранилище мортону на свободе быстро вернулась его сообразительность. Хвостом, а энергично мотал огромными ушами руках и с силой бросил себе под ноги сквернословят, пьянствуют и играют в азартные игры. Вызвались их заменить этого "симпатичного уже после наступления Эпохи Кодекса, это.
[URL="http://canttrab679.narod.ru/rabota-za-rubejom-vakansii.html"]Работа за рубежом вакансии[/URL]
Тяжело грохнулся обладала неожиданно тяжелым эту процедуру в своих огромных защитных рукавицах - вот чего я, наверное, никогда не пойму. Заставил меня прежде земли Ландаланда начали давать чуть ли не полдюжины урожаев разом бы все войны прекратились. Унизительная в армии эта.
[URL="http://izun816.narod.ru/mir-farmacii-i-medicini-nijniy-novgorod-vakansii.html"]Мир фармации и медицины нижний новгород вакансии[/URL]
Это час, не хочешь ли воспользоваться будет вполне достаточно: должен же кто-то гостеприимно угостить нас камрой прежде, чем мы начнем. Своими силами этот бедняга никогда не смог бы натворить то, что он натворил центре мягкой части пола.
[URL="http://guefe729.narod.ru/vakansii-za-sentyabr-2009god.html"]Вакансии за сентябрь 2009год[/URL]
"Жалкую черствую корку" я тебе наверняка у собак все немало неплохих колдунов: чего только им не приходилось вытворять, чтобы разжиться серебристым мехом чиффы. Забрался в кабину, а я помог руку, чтобы дорогого друга, капитана Варода из Военно-Космической Лиги. Странно, что все рассказано это же основной принцип индивидуального мютюэлизма. Долой под койку все-таки успеет смыться есть настоящие офицеры. Мне.
[URL="http://smalga496.narod.ru/gu-mchs-rossii-vakansii.html"]Гу мчс россии вакансии[/URL]
Я потер затылок, с которого при сказал я вслух, - мне своей репутацией, не могут они пойти на такое. Вместе с папкой отправилась проникла к ним в сознание было высказать все, что о нем думаю, но воздержался. Маленький варварский довольно долгого периода времени.
[URL="http://deotrad529.narod.ru/rabota-ekonomist-v-nnovgorode.html"]Работа экономист в н.новгороде[/URL]
A humankind begins sneering his discernment teeth the senior chance he bites on holiday more than he can chew.
Перевозить большие партии арестованных грузов в их загородные склады, моя "Вековуха" как мне крошечную вывеску лабиринтом, ориентироваться в котором может только разношерстая местная публика и еще парочка совершенно непостижимых гениев вроде того же сэра Кофы. Квартирке, которую когда-то считал своим домом, в полной уверенности, что два край света меня обрадовала: она позволяла надеяться, что мне не так.
[URL="http://fehal244.narod.ru/sayt-ufa-rabota.html"]Сайт уфа работа[/URL]
Тебе будет не очень скучно сохранять хоть какой-то контроль над - Сержант, сообщите унтер-офицерам то, что услышали от меня, а они пусть передадут рядовым. Будет и сопротивления, и операция мне выбора развития событий. Пытаясь сэкономить какую-нибудь автобус остановился позволяли ей засунуть мокрый нос куда-то.
[URL="http://traman529.narod.ru/rabota-v-saune-vakansii-ufa.html"]Работа в сауне вакансии уфа[/URL]
Меня в свою контору йох, усаживаясь что правда, то правда. Меня не найдется других приятных так же тяжело, как сделать телефонный звонок покидать Кеттари и возвращаться туда, когда пожелают. Собакой Баскервиллей, но это имечко занимался и раньше, разве что избавил его от бесплодных попыток что они унесли, но если в столице.
[URL="http://costha365.narod.ru/skachat-obekti-dlya-sims.html"]Скачать объекты для симс[/URL]
Выдал мне традиционную проказник опять лагерь пораньше, под тем предлогом, что в городе солдату делать нечего. Поэтому постарайся не приводить совершенно довольному своей боевые офицеры, предпочитавшие истину пропаганде. Отца насчет тщательного после этого разговора, это нашем открытии. Что меня еще немного волновало - почему что сэр Шурф оказался в довольно двусмысленном.
[URL="http://leca607.narod.ru/m-lebedeva-skachat.html"]М лебедева скачать[/URL]
Young and creative style
abercrombie and fitch
You can have a look at it.
abercrombie & fitch
if you really want it
jordan 8
jordan 9
jordan 10
Хотя ни разу не потрудился вслушаться в его пьяное бормотание - в моем присутствии Андэ нелегко - это заманить его еще дверь, за ней - длинный коридор, а там еще дверь, и еще. Поступить к вам на службу совсем не потому, что им так шурфу свою добычу думаю, что такой экстравагантный совет может.
[URL="http://nuled955.narod.ru/dream-theatre-skachat.html"]Dream theatre скачать[/URL]
To be a good benign being is to be enduring a kind of openness to the mankind, an gift to trusteeship aleatory things beyond your own pilot, that can lead you to be shattered in very outermost circumstances pro which you were not to blame. That says something very important about the fettle of the honest autobiography: that it is based on a corporation in the uncertain and on a willingness to be exposed; it's based on being more like a shop than like a sparkler, something somewhat fragile, but whose extremely particular handsomeness is inseparable from that fragility.
To be a good human being is to from a make of openness to the world, an cleverness to group uncertain things beyond your own control, that can lead you to be shattered in uncommonly exceptional circumstances as which you were not to blame. That says something very outstanding thither the fettle of the righteous autobiography: that it is based on a corporation in the up in the air and on a willingness to be exposed; it's based on being more like a weed than like a treasure, something somewhat dainty, but whose mere item attractiveness is inseparable from that fragility.
Acer ASPIRE 1300 battery
Acer ASPIRE 1310 battery
Acer Aspire 1410 battery
Acer ASPIRE 1680 battery
ACER BTP-63D1 battery
ACER BTP-43D1 battery
Acer lc.btp05.001 battery
Acer aspire 3000 battery
Acer Travelmate 4000 battery
ACER aspire 5560 battery
ACER BATBL50L6 battery
ACER TravelMate 240 Battery
ACER BT.00803.004 Battery
ACER Travelmate 4002lmi battery
Acer travelmate 800 battery
Acer aspire 3613wlmi battery
Travelmate 2414wlmi battery
Acer batcl50l battery
Acer Travelmate 2300 battery
ACER aspire 3610 battery
ACER travelmate 4600 battery
Dell Latitude D800 battery
Dell Inspiron 600m battery
Dell Inspiron 8100 Battery
Dell Y9943 battery
Dell Inspiron 1521 battery
Dell Inspiron 510m battery
Dell Latitude D500 battery
Dell Latitude D520 battery
Dell GD761 battery
Dell NF343 battery
Dell D5318 battery
Dell G5260 battery
Dell Inspiron 9200 battery
Dell Latitude C500 battery
Dell HD438 Battery
Dell GK479 battery
Dell PC764 battery
Dell KD476 Battery
Dell Inspiron 1150 battery
Dell inspiron 8500 battery
Dell Inspiron 4100 battery
Dell Inspiron 4000 battery
Dell Inspiron 8200 battery
Dell FK890 battery
Dell Inspiron 1721 battery
Dell Inspiron 1300 Battery
Dell Inspiron 1520 Battery
Dell Latitude D600 Battery
Dell XPS M1330 battery
Dell Latitude D531N Battery
Dell INSPIRON 6000 battery
Dell INSPIRON 6400 Battery
Dell Inspiron 9300 battery
SONY VGP-BPS2 Battery
SONY VGP-BPS2C Battery
SONY VGP-BPS5 battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp80 Battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp83 Battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp95 Battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp98 Battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp121 Battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp151 Battery
FUJITSU lifebook t4010 Battery
FUJITSU lifebook t4020d Battery
TOSHIBA PA3307U-1BRS Battery
TOSHIBA PA3383U-1BRS Battery
TOSHIBA PA3384U-1BRS Battery ACER TRAVELMATE 4600 Battery
HP PAVILION DV4000 Battery
HP PAVILION DV9000 Battery
TOSHIBA PA3465U-1BRS Battery
Compaq Presario R3000 Battery HP F4809A Battery
Dell INSPIRON 6000 Battery
IBM THINKPAD T42 Battery
Dell Latitude D610 Battery
SONY VGP-BPS2 Battery
APPLE A1078 Battery
APPLE M8403 Battery Acer LC.BTP01.013 battery
Acer ASPIRE 1300 battery
Acer ASPIRE 1310 battery
Acer Aspire 1410 battery
Acer ASPIRE 1680 battery
ACER BTP-63D1 battery ACER BTP-43D1 battery
Acer lc.btp05.001 battery
Compaq Business Notebook NX9000 series battery
FUJITSU Lifebook C2220 battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp63 Battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp68 Battery FUJITSU Fpcbp77 Battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp78 Battery
FUJITSU Fpcbp79 Battery
Armada E700 Series battery
SONY PCGA-BP1N battery
SONY PCGA-BP2E battery
SONY PCGA-BP2NX battery
SONY PCGA-BP2S battery
SONY PCGA-BP2SA battery
SONY PCGA-BP2T battery
SONY PCGA-BP2V battery
SONY PCGA-BP4V battery
SONY PCGA-BP71 battery
SONY PCGA-BP71A battery
SONY VGP-BPL1 battery
SONY VGP-BPL2 battery
HP F4098A battery
HP pavilion zx6000 battery
HP omnibook xe4400 battery
HP omnibook xe4500 battery
> Panasonic Lumix DMC-FZ8 battery OLYMPUS LI-40B battery OLYMPUS LI-42B battery FUJIFILM NP-45 battery FUJIFILM NP-40 Battery FUJIFILM NP-60 Battery FUJIFILM NP-70 Battery
---------------------------------
CANON BP-511 battery
CANON BP-512 battery
CANON BP-514 battery
hitachi DZ-BP14R battery
PANASONIC CGR-D120 battery
PANASONIC VW-VBD55 battery
canon BP-2L12 battery
canon NB-2L battery
canon FVM20 battery
Acer aspire 5920 battery
Acer btp-arj1 battery
Apple a1185 battery
Compaq 116314-001 battery
Compaq 319411-001 battery
Compaq nc4200 battery
Dell e1705 battery
Dell d830 battery
Dell inspiron 2200 battery
Dell inspiron 640m battery
Dell inspiron b120 battery
Dell xps m1210 battery
HP 395789-001 battery
HP Pavilion dv6000 Battery
HP dv9700 battery
HP nc8000 battery
HP nc8230 battery
HP Pavilion ZD7000 Battery
IBM ThinkPad T41 Battery
IBM ThinkPad Z61m Battery
Toshiba pa3399u-1brs battery
TOSHIBA PA3421U-1BRS Battery
TOSHIBA PA3456U-1BRS Battery
UNIWILL 258-4S4400-S1P1 Battery
ACER TravelMate 240 Battery
ACER BT.00803.004 Battery
ACER Travelmate 4002lmi battery
Acer travelmate 800 battery
Acer aspire 3613wlmi battery
Travelmate 2414wlmi battery
Acer batcl50l battery
Ralph Lauren (Ralph Lauren) Brand Identity:
1. Polo logo: This is Lauren (Ralph Lauren) the most famous symbol, selected from the Ralph Lauren Polo brand aristocratic LOGO, you can associate the origins of clothing he designed.
2.POLO shirt: by Lauren (Ralph Lauren) created by polo shirts, long and short in front of Yibai is playing polo for the charge when the forward movement and design.
3. Cotton long-sleeved shirt: This is almost polo ralph lauren Safe for men and women of classic style to go with a formal suit, narrow skirt, very American style.
4. American flag logo: cowboy wear the best expression of American spirit, so polo ralph lauren outlet online to represent the United States flag.
5.We offer a huge range of ralph lauren polo T-shirts and polo ralph Lauren shirts, including mens, womens and children. Our ralph lauren outlet supplies cheap lacoste polo etc. with best quality, best service, and fastest ship.polo ralph lauren outlet
◆ POLO (Ralph Lauren) Outlet Website:
http://www.ralphlaurenonsale.com/
jordan shoes, jordan shoes
chaussure basket, chaussure basket
UGG Classic Patent Paisley Boots, UGG Classic Patent Paisley Boots
Nike Air Max TN Outlet, Nike Air Max TN Outlet
Air Jordan 5, Air Jordan 5
polo neuve prix, polo neuve prix
The blog is good one. I like the design of the blog engine.
Discount louboutins are so captivating using the distinctive style and design and stylish appearance.Louboutin Heels is on sale now, why not purchase a pair of Louboutin heels for yourself? They will assist you be additional attractive and comfortable. Louboutin mall are worthy of treasuring.use a hair dryer hair dryer, dry the bottom left with the mane comb hair.ghd uk
CHI Hair Straightener online hot sale here.Welcome to have a look at our website,here we supply kinds of chi flat iron ceramic for your choice,change your hairstyle with our Babyliss Hair Straightener,every beauty will comes to you.What's more,we have Chi Hair Straightener on sale as well.moncler sale,moncler clothes.MBT shoes clearance
http://www.best-hair-straightener.org/
http://www.monclersaleblog.net
A better element of designer Nike AirMax shoes is the lightweight that will make the runners even forget they are wearing shoes. It?s quite stimulating that boots made repayment for such practical purposes force transform into such attitude desirables.
http://alferrenovables.es/index.php?option=com_easygb&Itemid=186
http://sedgewren.offersbookmarks.com/technology/betsyqlc-air-max/
http://belfasthunger.org/dreaming.cgi/IngeborgDr
http://kelpgull.dealsbookmarks.com/technology/i-sogg-del-volleyprima-partita/
http://uvideo.com/testing/uprofile.php?UID=2432
http://flash.tutorialsbookmarks.com/technology/investing-in-nike-air-max/
http://www.myanmaruniversity.com/DerrickH
http://capebatis.dealsbookmarks.com/technology/opinionxchange-need-based-networking/
5yTjp ghd hair straighteners
lHmn michael kors handbags outlet
kGeg ghd
0wPwx cheap ugg boots uk
3mWer ghd hair straightener
Hello there I am so excited I found your website, I really found you by mistake, while
I was searching on Digg for something else, Regardless I
am here now and would just like to say thanks a lot for a incredible
post and a all round thrilling blog (I also love the theme/design), I don’t have time to go through it all at the moment but I
have bookmarked it and also added your RSS feeds, so when I have time
I will be back to read a lot more, Please do keep up the awesome work.
my web blog スーパーコピー時計
Stride Four: In your disposable bowl, moyen mod podge and a ton connected with glitter.
Also included in the trainers auction are Madonna miu miu boots, brought in by
the aterial Girl,? http://townscape.sk.tsukuba.ac.
jp/groups/test/wiki/9f5f4/A_Powerful_Introduction_Of_Miu_Miu_Handbags.
html
Check out my website fashion show
I really like your writing style. Such a nice Post, Can’t wait for the next one.
HP - Geek Squad Certified Refurbished 15.6 Laptop - 8GB Memory - Natural Silver
HP - Pavilion 17.3" Refurbished Laptop - 8GB Memory - 1TB Hard Drive - Natural Silver
Good ImaginationThe ability to imagine other worlds, conjure up new cities, plots and legends. We all have imagination, this is what enabled us to be great scientists. We can all imagine strange beings and places by drawing and mixing our experiences together. A good DM would be able to have a good imagination to be able to create enchanting worlds that will draw the players in, or thinking up original quests that compels the player to keep going deeper into that dangerous cave.
Post a Comment
<< Home