Thursday, January 31, 2008

Ready to kick some butt

SG, from Replacement Level Yankees, put the CHONE projections into Diamond Mind and ran 100 seasons. His average AL west Standings are:

Angels 90-72
Oakland 78-84
Rangers 76-86
Mariners 75-87

His simulations using his own projection system, CAIRO, has similar results with the Mariners and A's swapping places. I'm not sure what the timing was for each, whether they were run before or after the Haren and Swisher trades.

What I consider my official projections is where I sit down and decide to the best of my ability how much playing time each player/pitcher will get, and from that figure how many runs the team should score and allow, given their CHONE projections. I've done the preliminary work for the AL west, it will be official when I do all 6 division and make sure the wins/losses add up at the MLB level. I'll probably have the AL average 82 wins with the NL at 80 because of the talent disparity in the leagues. Anyway, it's more good news:

Angels 90-72
Mariner 78-84 (assuming Jones in RF and no Bedard)
Oakland 73-89
Rangers 71-91

I kind of hope the Bedard trade goes down, it's not going to make the Mariners more than an 82-83 win team, and if we can't beat 84 wins we don't deserve to be in the playoffs. Plus it means we don't have to worry about Jones turning into a superstar over the next 6 years.

We've won on paper. Now we just have to take care of business on the field.

2 Comments:

At 11:50 PM, Blogger lucyliu said...

nike air max 90
nike air max 95
nike air max tn
nike air rift
nike shox r4
nike air max 360
nike shox nz
puma mens shoes
puma shoes
puma speed
nike shoes
nike air
nike air shoes
puma cat
air max trainers
mens nike air max
nike shoes air max
nike shoes shox
air shoes
nike shoe cart
puma future
cheap puma
sports shoes
nike air rifts
nike air rift trainer
nike air
nike rift
nike rift shoes
cheap nike air rifts
bape shoes
jeans shop
diesel jeans
levis jeans

 
At 7:20 PM, Blogger LAN said...

puma mens shoes
puma shoes
puma speed
nike shoes
nike air
nike air shoes
nike air max 90
nike air max 95
nike air max tn
nike air rift
nike shox r4
nike air max 360
nike shox nz
puma cat
air max trainers
mens nike air max
sports shoes
nike air rifts
nike air rift trainer
nike air
nike shoes air max
nike shoes shox
air shoes
Lucyliu IS Lucyliu
nike shoe cart
puma future
cheap puma
nike rift
jeans shop
diesel jeans
levis jeans
nike rift shoes
cheap nike air rifts
bape shoes

 

Post a Comment

Links to this post:

Create a Link

<< Home