CHONE pitcher projections, updated
Since last time I have added a few pitchers, namely the Japanese imports, updated projections for players traded or signed with new teams, and added a new run estimator.
Actually, pretty much every pitcher might have numbers changed a bit here and there, because I've updated the defense behind them, Twins will get a boost from Adam Everett at short, though Bartlett wasn't bad himself.
The old run estimator is a pitcher baseruns formula. That's still 99% of the model, but I've added a calculation for pitchers who have proven to beat their baseruns over the years. Minor leaguers will see no change, and the effect is miniscule for pitchers with little experience. It is heavily regressed, but pitchers with a long career record of beating their baseruns calculations will benefit. I'm looking at you, Tom Glavine and Livan Hernandez. Roy Oswalt is helped as well, though I did not expect that. For guys at the extremes, this will knock about .15 off their ERA.
Projections and more here.