Saturday, April 04, 2009

Top 20 Rookies for 2009, Position players

I'm rating these guys based on their CHONE projection for 2009, not for future potential. Defensive ratings are included. Some manual tweaks to the ratings were done as well, such as if I didn't believe the defensive number or for some reason thought a player should be ranked differently. To be eligible players must be 25 or under and have less than 100 PA in the majors.

1. Matt Wieters. The difference between #1 and #2 is greater than the difference between #2 and #20. And that is using CHONE, the least optimistic forecast for Wieters, as explained in my last post.

2. Colby Rasmus, OF, STL
3. Chris Getz, 2B, CWS
4. Taylor Teagarden, C, TEX
5. Andrew McCuthen, OF, PIT
6. Cameron Maybin, OF, FLA
7. Reid Brignac, SS, TBA
8. Alcides Escobar, SS, MIL
9. Max Ramirez, C, TEX
10. Matt LaPorta, 1B, CLE
11. John Jay, OF, STL
12. Kellen Kulbacki, OF, SD
13. Dexter Fowler, OF, COL
14. Lou Marson, C, PHI
15. Kila Kaaihue, 1B, KC
16. Matt Gamel, 3B-DH, MIL
17. Jordan Schafer, OF, ATL
18. Aaron Cunningham, OF, OAK
19. Gaby Sanchez, 1B-3B, FLA
20. Brian Bogusevic, OF, HOU

27 Comments:

At 9:51 PM, Blogger Aaron said...

Teagarden that much higher than Ramirez? I'm confused, because your hitting projections have Ramirez as 14 runs better than Teagarden offensively, and I only see a 4 run difference between the two (according to your projections, with Teagarden being better).

 
At 8:53 AM, Blogger Chone Smith said...

It's the defense. I only posted catcher projections on all pages as of yesterday, and didn't get around to announce it. (I was drafting my fantasy team until 3 in the morning).

Teagarden is considered an excellent defender, and my numbers agree. Ramirez is probably going to move to 1B or DH, but if he sticks at C, my numbers say he's got a lot of work to do.

 
At 1:24 AM, Blogger Aaron said...

Oh ok. It's just that Ramirez is projected at -3 for defense on your big Catcher Projection page, so I was just going off of that.

 
At 10:52 AM, Blogger Kansas City Blue said...

Why do the projections show no progression in future years?

 
At 8:15 PM, Blogger Chone Smith said...

Not sure what you are talking about. The 6 year forecasts show these guys getting better.

Maybe not as much progression as you expect, but it's not nothing.

 
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