Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Updated Projection on Jake Fox

Dude is absolutely killing the ball at AAA, as David Cameron at Fangraphs points out.

I ran a projection for him and get 268/326/485, which is a bit underwhelming for a 1B but represents a substantial improvement from his preseason projection. He deserves a shot somewhere, though it would be interesting to see what kind of numbers he can put up at AAA.

Brandon Wood's projection is slowly coming around, 235/300/429. He's looking like a much improved player so far, but damn, it takes way too long for these projection thingies to recognize a change in performance level. His MLE for 2009 is 314/401/697, but that is only 21 games.