Monday, February 16, 2009

Team Projection: AL East

Yankees 97-65
Red Sox 96-66
Rays 89-73
Blue Jays 76-86
Orioles 74-88

The Yankees just absolutely dominated the offseason and it might just be enough to get them back into the position of being favorites. Of course to do this they will probably spend more money next year than the Rays and Red Sox combined. The Red Sox still have an excellent team, second in this division equals second best in baseball. Last year a prediction of 89 wins was a bold one for the Rays. This year, 89 wins and third place will be a bit of a disappointment. The Blue Jays, and even the Orioles, are not terrible teams.

The AL East is so tough that just playing half your games in this unbalanced schedule will knock a few games off your win total. And the AL is 5-10 games better than the NL. The Orioles and Jays are probably as good as projected 2nd and 3rd place teams Oakland and Minnesota, and any of those teams would be contenders in the National league.

If I ranked the teams in this division among all MLB teams, and everyone played the same schedule, here is the overall rank of the AL East teams:

1. Yankees
2. Red Sox
3. Rays
12. Blue Jays
15. Orioles

39 Comments:

At 12:30 PM, Anonymous Aaron B. said...

If the Orioles were in the NL West, I guarantee their fans (and projections) would have people saying they could compete in this division. Thankfully, they're not and the Giants are :-)

 
At 3:56 PM, Anonymous Aaron B. said...

Ok, maybe I'm being too nice to their pitching.

 
At 5:29 PM, Blogger whateverfor said...

Could you post the full ranking of teams (if they all played an even schedule) when you finish the series? It would be interesting to see just how much disparity there is between the divisions.

 
At 6:21 PM, Blogger Chone Smith said...

Good idea. I'll put that up at the end.

 
At 6:31 AM, Anonymous Jeff said...

Yeah, it's great to see the O's making progress...all the way to last place. Chances are, if they were in the NL West, Angelos wouldn't have bothered bringing Andy in and they'd still be wallowing as a joke. Angelos knows how to destroy things. It's a special skill many attorneys possess.

 
At 9:25 PM, OpenID David Marver said...

I notice your projection for Koji Uehara is comprised entirely of relief appearances. Do you happen to have projections for him as a starter, seeing as everything I've seen indicates he's going to open the season as #2 in that rotation?

 
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