Thursday, November 16, 2006

The CHONEs, 2007

Here are the most deadly accurate (not) projections known to mankind, the CHONE (Comprehensive Holistic Objective Numerical Estimations) projections.

The shorthand was named in honor of our favorite jack of all trades, Mr. Figgins. The long version of the name was suggested by the Baseballthinkfactory poster known as Dag Nabbit.

This is the first complete release of the data. All players are park adjusted and projected to a mythical stadium that is completely average, and somewhere between the American and National leagues, just off the interleague play highway. I have left out runs and RBI, as that requires a separate step where I try and predict what spot of the lineup the player will primarily hit in, plus information about his team.

I have included baserunning and fielding projections, a position adjustment, and a figure for total runs over replacement level. Players who didn't play too much, or mostly in the minors, may not have a defensive or baserunning projection. These players will have a zero in that field. I have projected almsot everyone who played major league baseball in 2006. In the future I will have CHONEs for pitchers and selected minor leaguers.

CHONE

Update: Selected minor league players added.

16 Comments:

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At 8:18 AM, Blogger David Pinto said...

Sorry to come to this late. Do you have a link to a post with your explantion of CHONE?

Thanks,

David Pinto
pinto@map.com

 
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