Saturday, September 30, 2006

Defensive projections

There's still two games left in the season, but the final numbers aren't going to change anyone's projection by more than a fraction. Here are the defensive projections for 2007 for all players who were active in 2006 and met my playing time criteria.

Aramis Ramirez is a below average 3B at -6, but then Maicer Izturis (-5) isn't that great either. Some of the other free agents talked about, Soriano is +1 after one year in left, and Carlos Lee is -4. Barry Bonds is only at -1. Somehow the old fart still catches most of what's hit to him.

Red Sox fans will be less up in arms on Manny Ramirez's rating. He's at the bottom at -16 after a park adjustment. That may still be unfair to him since zone rating doesn't say "STOP" when a ball hits high off the green monster, but if its off its probably by 5 runs instead of by 20.


Defensive projections

9 Comments:

At 9:30 AM, Blogger dbvader said...

That may still be unfair to him since zone rating doesn't sat "STOP" when a ball hits high off the green monster, but if its off its probably by 5 runs instead of by 20.

Que? "sat"? Do you mean "if it is off"?

 
At 12:08 PM, Blogger Chone Smith said...

"sat" should be "say"

 
At 12:10 PM, Blogger Chone Smith said...

fixed.

 
At 1:01 PM, Anonymous JoeArthur said...

It looks like Coco Crisp also needs some park adjustment for CF in Fenway. The 2006 data I've assembled is here.

 
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